Publications of the Institute of Macroeconomics

Bluhm, R. and Pinkovskiy, M. (2021): The spread of COVID-19 and the BCG vaccine: A natural experiment in reunified Germany.,  The Econometrics Journal, forthcoming

Bluhm, R., Gassebner, M., Langlotz, S., Schaudt, P. (2020): Fueling Conflict? (De)escalation and Bilateral Aid,  Journal of Applied Econometrics
DOI: 10.1002/jae.2797

Bluhm, Richard and K. Thomsson (2020): Holding on? Ethnic divisions, political institutions and the duration of economic declines,  Journal of Development Economics, Volume 144, May 2020.
DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2020.102457

Dreher, A., Gassebner, M., Schaudt, P. (2020): The Effect of Migration on Terror – Made at Home or Imported from Abroad?,  Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol. 53 (4), November 2020
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/caje.12469

Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A., Van Damme, I. (2020): Expired Measures, Excess Duty Drawbacks and Causation:The Appellate Body Report in EU–PET (Pakistan),  World Trade Review, Vol. 19, 232–24
DOI: 10.1017/S1474745620000087

Bluhm, Richard, D. de Crombrugghe and A. Szirmai (2019): Do weak institutions prolong crises? On the identification, characteristics, and duration of declines during economic slumps.,  World Bank Economic Review, 31 October 2019
DOI: 10.1093/wber/lhz015

Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A. Ahn, D. (2019): Indonesia–Import Licensing Regimes: GATT Rules for Agricultural Trade?,  World Trade Review, 18(2), 197-218
DOI: 10.1017/S1474745619000119

Aidt, T.S., Albornoz, F., Gassebner, M. (2018): The Golden Hello and Political Transitions,  Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 46, Issue 1, March 2018, pp. 157-173.
DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2017.03.004

Bluhm, R.,de Crombrugghe D., Szirmai A. (2018): Poverty accounting,  European Economic Review, Vol. 104, May 2018, pp. 237-255.
DOI: 10.1016/j.euroecorev.2018.03.003

Gassebner, M., Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A. (2018): Politicized Trade: What Drives Withdrawal of Trade Preferences?,  Economics Letters, Vol. 167, June 2018, Pages 10-13.
DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2017.12.005

Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A., Henn, C. (2018): Peeling Away the Layers: Impacts of Durable Tariff Elimination,  Journal of International Economics, Volume 115, November 2018, Pages 259-276.
DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2018.09.003

Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A., Lester, S. (2017): Does Safeguards Need Saving? Lessons from the Ukraine – Passenger Cars Dispute,  World Trade Review, Vol. 16, Issue 2, April 2017, pp. 227-251.
DOI: 10.1017/S1474745616000525

Bluhm, R.,de Crombrugghe D., Szirmai, A. (2016): The dynamics of stagnation,  Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol.20 , Issue 8, December 2016, pp. 2010-2045.
DOI: 10.1017/S1365100515000231

Gassebner, M., Gutmann, J., Voigt, S. (2016): When to Expect a Coup d’État? An Extreme Bounds Analysis of Coup Determinants,  Public Choice, Vol. 169, Issue 3, September 2016, pp. 293-313.
DOI: 10.1007/s11127-016-0365-0

Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A. Gnutzmann, H. (2016): The Silent Success of Customs Unions,  SSRN
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2490929

Egger, P., Gassebner, M. (2015): International Terrorism as a Trade Impediment?,  Oxford Economic Papers, Vol. 67, Issue 1, January 2015, pp. 42-62.
DOI: 10.1093/oep/gpu037

Campos, N., Gassebner, M. (2013): International Terrorism, Domestic Political Instability and the Escalation Effect,  Economics & Politics, Vol. 25, Issue 1, February 2013, pp. 27-47.
DOI: 10.1111/ecpo.12002

Dreher, A., Gassebner, M. (2013): Greasing the Wheels? The Impact of Regulations and Corruption on Firm Entry,  Public Choice, Vol. 155, Issue 3/4, June 2013, pp. 413-432.
DOI: 10.1007/s11127-011-9871-2

Gassebner, M., Lamla, M.J., Vreeland, J.R. (2013): Extreme Bounds of Democracy,  Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 57, Issue 2, March 2013, pp. 171-197.
DOI: 10.1177/0022002712446132

Dreher, A., Gassebner, M. (2012): Do IMF and World Bank Programs Induce Government Crises? An Empirical Analysis,  International Organization, Vol. 66, Issue 2, April 2012, pp. 329-358.
DOI: 10.1017/S0020818312000094

Dreher, A., Gassebner, M., Siemers, L. (2012): Globalization, Economic Freedom and Human Rights,  Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 56, Issue 3, October 2010. pp. 516-546.
DOI: 10.1177/0022002711420962

Gassebner, M., Jong-A-Pin, R., Mierau, J. (2011): Terrorism and Cabinet Duration,  International Economic Review, Vol. 52, Issue 4, November 2011, pp. 1253-1270.
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2354.2011.00666.x

Gassebner, M., Gaston, N., Lamla, M.J. (2011): The Inverse Domino Effect: Are Economic Reforms Contagious?,  International Economic Review, Vol. 52, Issue 1, pp.183-200.
DOI: 10.1111/j.1468-2354.2010.00624.x

Gassebner, M., Lamla, M.J.,Sturm, J.-E. (2011): Determinants of Pollution: What Do We Really Know?,  Oxford Economic Papers, Vol. 63, Issue 3, July 2011, vol. 63, issue 3, pp. 568-595 .
DOI: 10.1093/oep/gpq029

Gassebner, M., Luechinger, S. (2011): Lock, Stock, and Barrel: A Comprehensive Assessment of the Determinants of Terror,  Public Choice, Vol. 149, Issue 3/4, December 2011, pp. 235-261.
DOI: 10.1007/s11127-011-9873-0

Aidt, T.S., Gassebner, M. (2010): Do Autocratic States Trade Less?,  World Bank Economic Review, Volume 24, Issue 1, March 2010, pp. 38-76.
DOI: 10.1093/wber/lhp022

Dreher, A., Gassebner, M., Siemers, L. (2010): Does Terror Threaten Human Rights? Evidence from Panel Data,  Journal of Law and Economics, Vol. 53, Issue 1, February 2010, pp. 65-93.
DOI: 10.1086/596021

Gassebner, M., Keck, A., Teh, R. (2010): Shaken, Not Stirred: The Impact of Disasters on International Trade,  Review of International Economics, Vol. 18, Issue 2, April 2010, pp. 351-368.
DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9396.2010.00868.x

Dreher, A.,Gassebner, M. (2008): Does Political Proximity to the U.S. Cause Terror?,  Economics Letters, Vol. 99, Issue 1, April 2008, pp. 27-29.
DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2007.05.020

Gassebner, M., Jong-A-Pin,R., Mierau, J. (2008): Terrorism and Electoral Accountability: One Strike, You’re out!,  Economics Letters, Vol. 100, Issue 1, July 2008, pp. 126-129.
DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2007.12.011

Gassebner, M., Gaston, N., Lamla, M.J. (2008): Relief for the Environment? The Importance of an Increasingly Unimportant Industrial Sector,  Economic Inquiry, Vol. 46, Issue 2, April 2008, pp. 160-178.
DOI: 10.1111/j.1465-7295.2007.00086.x

Korn, Tobias; Stemmler, Henry (2022): Your Pain, My Gain? Estimating the Trade Relocation Effects from Civil Conflict,  Hannover Discussion Paper 698, Mar 2022, pp. 45

Bluhm, R. Dreher, A. Fuchs, A. Parks, B.C. Strange, A.M. Tierney, M.J. (2020): Connective Financing: Chinese Infrastructure Projects and the Diffusion of Economic Activity in Developing Countries,  AidData Working Papers

Bluhm, R. Krause, M. (2020): Top Lights - Bright cities and their contribution to economic development

Bluhm, R. Pinkovskiy, M. (2020): The spread of COVID-19 and the BCG vaccine: Evidence from a natural experiment in Germany

Gnutzmann, H., Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A., Korn, T. (2020): Consequences of FTA Withdrawal: Evidence from "Uxit". CESifo Working Paper No. 8859.

Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A. Gnutzmann, H. (2020): The Cost of Borders: Evidence from the Eurasian Customs Union

Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A., Hoffstadt, M. (2020): Use and Abuse of Antidumping by Global Cartels, CESifo Working Paper no.8729, December 2020. Available online: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp8729.pdf

Arshavskiya, V. Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A. Mazol, A. (2019): Institutions and Comparative Advantage in Services Trade,  BEROC Working Paper 64

Gnutzmann-Mkrtchyan, A. Van Damme, I. (2019): Expired measures, excess duty drawbacks and causation: The Appellate Body report in EU – PET (Pakistan),  EUI Working Paper RSCAS 2019/81

Bluhm, R., Gassebner, M., Langlotz, S., Schaudt, P (2016): Fueling Conflict? (De)escalation and Bilateral Aid,  HiCN Working Papers 265, Households in Conflict Network.

Gassebner, M., Méon, P.-G. (2010): Where do Creditor Rights Matter? Creditor Rights, Political Constraints, and Cross-Border M&A Activity,  CEB Working Paper, April 2010
DOI: 10.15488/9780

Korn, T. (2019): Book Review: Terrorism: What Everyone Needs to Know,  Organization Studies 2019, Vol. 40(11) 1767–1774
DOI: 10.1177/0170840619841240

Fiorini M., Gnutzmann H., Hoekman B. (2018): Voluntary Sustainability Standards: How can they affect sustainable development through trade?,  World Trade Forum Series

Dreher, A., Gaston, N. Martens, P. (2009): Measuring Globalisation: Gauging its Consequences. New York: Springer,  Economica

Gassebner, M., Schaudt, P., Wong, M. (2023): Armed Groups: Competition and Political Violence,  Journal of Development Economics, forthcoming

Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung (2019): Wann kommt es zum Putsch?,  Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung

Philip Plickert (2019): Warum gegen afrikanische Regierungen so oft geputscht wird,  Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung online, 12.07.2019 More info

Gassebner, M. (2018): Terrorismus ist ein ungemein effizientes Mittel in einem asymmetrischen Konflikt,  Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Vol.19, Issue 1, March 2018.
DOI: 10.1515/pwp-2018-0001

Dreher, A., Gassebner, M., Schaudt, P. (2017): Migration und Terror,  Oekonomenstimme.org, 17.08.2017 More info

Dreher, A., Gassebner, M., Schaudt, P. (2017): Migration and Terror,  VoxEU.org, 12.08.2017

Boaz Ganor (2016): Terrorism (or its Absence) Will Decide the US Election,  Jerusalem Post online, 08.09.2016 More info

Schweizer Radio und Fernsehen (2015): Terror: Die gesellschaftlichen Kosten,  SRF 1, 12.01.2015 More info

Gerhard Schwarz (2014): Schwert gegen Extremismus,  Neue Zürcher Zeitung, 25.01.2014 More info

20 minuten (2013): Das Handy-Bekenntnis ist bisher einzigartig,  20 minuten

20 minuten (2013): Hier wohnt der Terror,  20 minuten online

Alexandra Endres (2012): Die Eliten halten ihre Schäfchen im Trockenen,  Zeit online, 23.07,2012 More info

Gassebner, M., Lamla, M.J., Vreeland, J.R. (2012): Demokratie extrem,  Oekonomenstimme.org, 10.08.2012 More info

Gassebner, M.,Lamla, M.J., Vreeland, J.R. (2012): What Determines Democracy? And what Helps to Maintain it?,  VoxEU.org

Joshua Keating (2012): Why Spain Should Take the Money and (as soon as it's Economically Prudent) Run,  Foreign Policy Blog, 11.07.2012 More info

Dreher, A., Gassebner, M., Siemers, L. (2011): Globalisierung und Menschenrechte,  Oekonomenstimme.org, 03.02.2011 More info

Gassebner, M., Luechinger, S. (2011): Der 11. September und eine Kinder,  Oekonomenstimme.org, 06.09.2011 More info

World Trade Organization (2011): Trade Growth to Ease in 2011 but Despite 2010 Record Surge, Crisis Hangover Persists,  Press Release, 07.04.2011

Gassebner, M. (2010): Focus, Agriculture, and Multilateralism: Three Aspects the EU Should Concentrate on,  VoxEU.org, 29.09.2010 More info

Campos, N., Gassebner, M. (2009): International Terrorism and the Escalation Effect,  VoxEU.org, 07.04.2009 More info

Gassebner, M., Sturm, J.-E. (2009): Der freie Personenverkehr mit der EU sollte weitergeführt werden,  Neue Zürcher Zeitung, 06.01.2009 More info

Willy Boder (2009): Carburant de la Croissance,  Le Temps, 12.01.2009 More info

Aidt, T.S., Gassebner, M. (2008): Political Regimes and International Trade,  VoxEU.org, 16.12.2008 More info

Dreher, A.,Gassebner, M. (2006): Freundschaft kann der Wirtschaft schaden,  Cash

Gassebner, M.,Wiermann, C. (2006): Picasso in Paris verliert gegen Nolde in New York,  Cash

Gassebner, M. (2006): Ein Sturmtief kommt selten allein,  Cash

Neue Zürcher Zeitung (2005): Umweltprobleme auf Ökonomisch,  Neue Zürcher Zeitung

Egger, P., Gassebner, M., Lassmann, A. (2009): Armington Product Variety Growth in Small Versus Large Countries,  Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol 145, Issue 4, October 2009, pp. 411–419.
DOI: 10.1007/BF03399288

Aeppli, R., Gassebner, M. (2008): Auswirkungen des Abkommens mit der EU zum freien Personenverkehr (FZS) auf den schweizerischen Arbeitsmarkt,  KOF Analysen
DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005907256

Gassebner, M. (2005): Effekte der Personenfreizügigkeit,  Thurgauer Wirtschaftsinstitut Diskussionsbeiträge